| Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 20.5% | 9 | 16.8% | 1 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| LAB | 43.0% | 59 | 33.5% | 1 | 2 | -1 | 58 |
| LIB | 11.0% | 6 | 8.6% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 6 |
| Reform | 8.7% | 0 | 16.2% | 3 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| Green | 10.1% | 0 | 17.9% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
| Other | 6.7% | 1 | 6.9% | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
This page shows all the seats in London sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Reform votes. The seat 'Dulwich and West Norwood' where the LAB−Reform difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Hornchurch and Upminster', where the Reform−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.
The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'Reform Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Uxbridge and South Ruislip (prediction: LAB), and the Reforms need to win all their seats up to Brent West (prediction: LAB).
The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.
More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.
| LAB Seats | Reform Seats | Seat | MP at 2024 | Electorate | Turn Out% | CON % | LAB % | LIB % | Reform % | Green % | MIN % | OTH % | 2024 Win | Pred Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 425 | Dulwich and West Norwood | Helen Hayes | 74,265 | 61.1 | 5.2 | 52.8 | 1.2 | 6.7 | 29.4 | 4.7 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 2 | 424 | Hornsey and Friern Barnet | Catherine West | 69,885 | 69.6 | 5.9 | 52.9 | 2.1 | 7.8 | 26.6 | 4.8 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 3 | 423 | Lewisham West and East Dulwich | Ellie Reeves | 70,099 | 66.2 | 4.7 | 52.3 | 1.2 | 7.2 | 29.8 | 4.9 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 5 | 421 | Clapham and Brixton Hill | Bell Ribeiro-Addy | 74,435 | 57.4 | 6.1 | 51.6 | 1.8 | 7.1 | 28.5 | 5.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 6 | 420 | Vauxhall and Camberwell Green | Florence Eshalomi | 69,658 | 53.9 | 4.9 | 50.8 | 1.4 | 7.5 | 29.7 | 5.5 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 7 | 419 | Lewisham North | Vicky Foxcroft | 74,204 | 59.5 | 4.2 | 50.0 | 1.1 | 6.8 | 32.9 | 4.9 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 8 | 418 | Peckham | Miatta Fahnbulleh | 72,123 | 53.8 | 4.4 | 50.4 | 1.1 | 7.9 | 30.7 | 5.5 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 9 | 417 | Hackney South and Shoreditch | Meg Hillier | 78,262 | 53.3 | 4.1 | 47.5 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 35.0 | 5.3 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 10 | 416 | Hackney North and Stoke Newington | Diane Abbott | 77,797 | 52.6 | 5.2 | 47.1 | 1.1 | 7.4 | 33.3 | 6.1 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 13 | 413 | Greenwich and Woolwich | Matthew Pennycook | 73,573 | 58.1 | 6.4 | 49.1 | 1.3 | 9.9 | 26.6 | 6.7 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 14 | 412 | Streatham and Croydon North | Steve Reed | 82,829 | 53.8 | 6.6 | 48.2 | 1.5 | 9.3 | 28.4 | 6.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 16 | 410 | Walthamstow | Stella Creasy | 76,338 | 60.1 | 4.3 | 47.0 | 0.8 | 8.8 | 33.3 | 5.8 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 19 | 407 | Tottenham | David Lammy | 75,906 | 52.9 | 4.6 | 46.8 | 0.9 | 9.2 | 32.1 | 6.4 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 20 | 406 | Islington South and Finsbury | Emily Thornberry | 74,122 | 57.7 | 5.6 | 46.9 | 1.4 | 9.3 | 30.5 | 6.4 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 21 | 405 | Tooting | Rosena Allin-Khan | 76,082 | 69.6 | 12.8 | 46.4 | 4.2 | 9.3 | 22.4 | 4.9 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 23 | 403 | Queen's Park and Maida Vale | Georgia Gould | 75,558 | 50.7 | 7.1 | 45.5 | 1.2 | 9.9 | 29.5 | 6.8 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 26 | 400 | Lewisham East | Janet Daby | 73,376 | 55.4 | 8.2 | 47.2 | 2.9 | 12.4 | 22.2 | 7.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 29 | 397 | Holborn and St Pancras | Keir Starmer | 71,300 | 54.1 | 6.1 | 45.0 | 1.0 | 11.6 | 29.9 | 6.5 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 30 | 396 | Leyton and Wanstead | Calvin Bailey | 73,366 | 59.6 | 6.8 | 44.5 | 1.1 | 11.4 | 29.8 | 6.4 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 31 | 395 | Croydon West | Sarah Jones | 77,942 | 48.9 | 10.6 | 44.5 | 3.6 | 12.2 | 22.1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 39 | 387 | Brent East | Dawn Butler | 77,257 | 48.9 | 9.9 | 42.7 | 2.2 | 12.4 | 25.4 | 7.5 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 40 | 386 | East Ham | Stephen Timms | 79,086 | 47.9 | 6.0 | 41.7 | 0.8 | 11.8 | 32.5 | 7.3 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 44 | 382 | Hammersmith and Chiswick | Andy Slaughter | 75,860 | 60.7 | 15.8 | 41.4 | 6.1 | 12.5 | 18.2 | 6.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 46 | 380 | Bermondsey and Old Southwark | Neil Coyle | 69,473 | 54.1 | 8.5 | 40.8 | 7.7 | 12.0 | 24.4 | 6.7 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 49 | 377 | Battersea | Marsha de Cordova | 72,767 | 64.7 | 18.4 | 40.1 | 7.8 | 11.7 | 17.8 | 4.3 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 52 | 374 | Cities of London and Westminster | Rachel Blake | 73,369 | 53.4 | 35.4 | 36.0 | 1.9 | 7.9 | 12.6 | 6.1 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 54 | 371 | Kensington and Bayswater | Joe Powell | 77,306 | 54.2 | 36.6 | 35.7 | 1.5 | 8.2 | 12.1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | LAB | CON |
| 56 | 370 | Stratford and Bow | Uma Kumaran | 80,560 | 53.9 | 5.4 | 39.0 | 0.9 | 11.6 | 36.6 | 6.5 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 58 | 368 | Putney | Fleur Anderson | 72,614 | 67.9 | 19.2 | 39.7 | 9.1 | 12.5 | 15.2 | 4.4 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 60 | 366 | Ealing Southall | Deirdre Costigan | 78,669 | 59.5 | 11.0 | 41.2 | 3.2 | 14.0 | 23.6 | 7.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 61 | 364 | Croydon South | Chris Philp | 74,968 | 65.9 | 37.7 | 34.7 | 1.6 | 8.4 | 11.3 | 6.3 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 62 | 364 | Mitcham and Morden | Siobhain McDonagh | 77,272 | 58.6 | 12.0 | 41.7 | 5.0 | 15.5 | 18.2 | 7.5 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 63 | 363 | Hampstead and Highgate | Tulip Siddiq | 80,029 | 60.7 | 15.1 | 37.7 | 8.3 | 11.7 | 21.3 | 5.9 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 70 | 356 | Southgate and Wood Green | Bambos Charalambous | 77,542 | 58.9 | 15.0 | 39.2 | 6.0 | 14.5 | 18.3 | 6.9 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 73 | 353 | Islington North | Jeremy Corbyn | 72,582 | 67.5 | 11.5 | 35.2 | 3.9 | 12.2 | 19.7 | 17.4 | 0.0 | MIN | LAB |
| 74 | 352 | Erith and Thamesmead | Abena Oppong-Asare | 78,886 | 51.2 | 11.4 | 41.0 | 3.6 | 18.2 | 16.6 | 9.2 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 78 | 348 | Ealing Central and Acton | Rupa Huq | 78,436 | 60.9 | 16.1 | 36.0 | 8.4 | 13.8 | 19.5 | 6.1 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 79 | 347 | Bethnal Green and Stepney | Rushanara Ali | 81,922 | 56.9 | 6.1 | 35.2 | 2.2 | 13.0 | 31.6 | 11.9 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 85 | 341 | Poplar and Limehouse | Apsana Begum | 84,469 | 51.0 | 9.6 | 36.1 | 4.2 | 14.5 | 28.0 | 7.6 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 87 | 339 | Harrow West | Gareth Thomas | 79,902 | 56.6 | 23.7 | 36.0 | 5.0 | 14.5 | 16.3 | 4.4 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 90 | 336 | Beckenham and Penge | Liam Conlon | 76,876 | 67.9 | 19.5 | 38.5 | 7.3 | 17.1 | 12.2 | 5.4 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 94 | 332 | Brent West | Barry Gardiner | 79,937 | 51.8 | 27.7 | 33.2 | 4.4 | 12.3 | 15.4 | 7.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 102 | 324 | Edmonton and Winchmore Hill | Kate Osamor | 75,792 | 54.2 | 16.0 | 37.3 | 4.9 | 16.9 | 16.8 | 8.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 104 | 322 | Ealing North | James Murray | 74,820 | 57.8 | 14.6 | 36.8 | 4.1 | 16.9 | 19.5 | 8.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 120 | 306 | Ilford South | Jas Athwal | 80,993 | 50.8 | 11.2 | 34.5 | 2.2 | 16.5 | 27.2 | 8.3 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 122 | 304 | Hayes and Harlington | John McDonnell | 74,405 | 51.5 | 15.0 | 36.5 | 4.2 | 18.9 | 17.7 | 7.8 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 123 | 303 | Enfield North | Feryal Clark | 78,770 | 55.2 | 16.2 | 36.6 | 5.3 | 19.1 | 15.8 | 7.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 127 | 299 | West Ham and Beckton | James Edward Asser | 78,790 | 46.1 | 11.2 | 35.2 | 3.4 | 18.0 | 23.6 | 8.6 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 134 | 291 | Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner | David Simmonds | 71,683 | 65.7 | 36.7 | 28.8 | 4.4 | 11.9 | 11.2 | 7.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 138 | 288 | Croydon East | Natasha Dawn Irons | 76,660 | 57.1 | 21.6 | 34.9 | 7.3 | 18.4 | 12.5 | 5.2 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 148 | 278 | Finchley and Golders Green | Sarah Sackman | 77,500 | 63.6 | 21.6 | 33.6 | 6.0 | 18.0 | 15.2 | 5.6 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 157 | 269 | Brentford and Isleworth | Ruth Cadbury | 79,283 | 57.1 | 17.3 | 33.3 | 6.6 | 18.5 | 17.8 | 6.5 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 169 | 257 | Chelsea and Fulham | Ben Coleman | 78,468 | 60.0 | 25.8 | 32.4 | 5.6 | 18.4 | 12.6 | 5.1 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 184 | 241 | Harrow East | Bob Blackman | 76,386 | 62.5 | 38.0 | 26.1 | 3.6 | 13.3 | 11.9 | 7.1 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 191 | 235 | Barking | Nesil Caliskan | 79,825 | 45.7 | 11.1 | 32.6 | 3.0 | 20.3 | 22.4 | 10.6 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 200 | 226 | Chipping Barnet | Dan Tomlinson | 78,038 | 65.2 | 22.3 | 32.9 | 5.0 | 21.3 | 12.8 | 5.7 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 211 | 215 | Eltham and Chislehurst | Clive Efford | 74,224 | 61.4 | 19.3 | 33.7 | 5.5 | 22.9 | 11.3 | 7.3 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 218 | 208 | Dagenham and Rainham | Margaret Mullane | 76,478 | 50.8 | 5.1 | 45.2 | 0.6 | 34.9 | 2.0 | 12.2 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 223 | 203 | Ilford North | Wes Streeting | 77,835 | 60.2 | 17.3 | 28.4 | 3.9 | 18.4 | 16.9 | 15.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 232 | 194 | Feltham and Heston | Seema Malhotra | 76,983 | 50.5 | 15.4 | 31.8 | 4.2 | 22.6 | 17.7 | 8.4 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 232 | 193 | Bromley and Biggin Hill | Peter Fortune | 70,713 | 66.2 | 32.2 | 25.6 | 8.4 | 16.4 | 8.3 | 9.2 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 279 | 147 | Hendon | David Pinto-Duschinsky | 74,865 | 55.1 | 22.6 | 28.6 | 4.9 | 22.3 | 14.6 | 7.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 288 | 137 | Wimbledon | Paul Christopher Kohler | 76,352 | 72.0 | 21.5 | 18.4 | 36.4 | 12.8 | 8.2 | 2.8 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 324 | 101 | Chingford and Woodford Green | Iain Duncan Smith | 75,178 | 64.5 | 27.5 | 24.2 | 4.5 | 22.2 | 12.1 | 9.6 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 327 | 99 | Uxbridge and South Ruislip | Danny Boy Beales | 74,746 | 61.4 | 17.9 | 31.5 | 3.7 | 30.0 | 9.9 | 7.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 335 | 90 | Twickenham | Munira Wilson | 74,980 | 71.5 | 18.6 | 14.4 | 40.7 | 13.7 | 8.7 | 3.9 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 344 | 81 | Orpington | Gareth Bacon | 71,203 | 64.7 | 26.6 | 23.4 | 7.8 | 23.9 | 9.2 | 9.1 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 358 | 67 | Richmond Park | Sarah Olney | 68,103 | 76.7 | 26.7 | 4.7 | 54.6 | 7.6 | 3.8 | 2.7 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 365 | 61 | Bexleyheath and Crayford | Daniel Francis | 69,470 | 62.6 | 23.9 | 25.6 | 5.5 | 29.0 | 6.7 | 9.3 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 367 | 58 | Kingston and Surbiton | Ed Davey | 77,340 | 65.5 | 19.4 | 13.5 | 36.5 | 17.1 | 8.7 | 4.7 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 368 | 58 | Old Bexley and Sidcup | Louie French | 72,290 | 65.9 | 26.0 | 23.3 | 5.3 | 27.0 | 8.7 | 9.8 | 0.0 | CON | Reform |
| 374 | 51 | Sutton and Cheam | Luke Taylor | 72,302 | 65.8 | 33.3 | 7.1 | 41.4 | 11.5 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 394 | 32 | Romford | Andrew Rosindell | 72,978 | 60.4 | 23.9 | 22.3 | 5.5 | 29.1 | 8.8 | 10.5 | 0.0 | CON | Reform |
| 399 | 26 | Carshalton and Wallington | Bobby Dean | 74,362 | 62.8 | 23.1 | 13.2 | 30.7 | 21.8 | 6.4 | 4.8 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 419 | 6 | Hornchurch and Upminster | Julia Lopez | 75,438 | 62.2 | 43.5 | 7.9 | 2.5 | 29.3 | 3.8 | 13.0 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.