| Party | 2024 Votes | 2024 Seats | Pred Votes | Gains | Losses | Net Change | Pred Seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CON | 22.8% | 9 | 17.0% | 0 | 6 | -6 | 3 |
| LAB | 40.9% | 43 | 32.7% | 3 | 3 | +0 | 43 |
| LIB | 7.1% | 1 | 6.0% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| Reform | 16.7% | 0 | 25.4% | 7 | 0 | +7 | 7 |
| Green | 7.5% | 0 | 9.4% | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 |
| Other | 5.0% | 1 | 9.5% | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
This page shows all the seats in Yorks/Humber sorted by the predicted difference between Labour and Reform votes. The seat 'Sheffield Central' where the LAB−Reform difference is biggest is at the top. And the seat 'Bridlington and the Wolds', where the Reform−LAB difference is biggest, is at the bottom. These extreme seats may not always have the largest majorities, due to the presence of other parties.
The first two columns, 'LAB Seats' and 'Reform Seats', show how many seats each big party wins if they won that seat and all easier seats, assuming the other smaller parties' votes stay constant. Either big party needs 326 seats to have a majority. So Labour needs to win all the seats down to Skipton and Ripon (prediction: LAB), and the Reforms need to win all their seats up to Leeds East (prediction: LAB).
The seats between those two limits are the key battleground for the next general election.
More information and a full description of the majority-sorted seat list is here.
| LAB Seats | Reform Seats | Seat | MP at 2024 | Electorate | Turn Out% | CON % | LAB % | LIB % | Reform % | Green % | MIN % | OTH % | 2024 Win | Pred Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 414 | Sheffield Central | Abtisam Mohamed | 60,777 | 52.3 | 4.1 | 46.6 | 1.0 | 7.1 | 36.0 | 5.2 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 22 | 404 | Leeds Central and Headingley | Alex Sobel | 70,554 | 44.8 | 4.8 | 46.5 | 1.1 | 9.9 | 29.8 | 7.9 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 34 | 392 | Leeds North East | Fabian Hamilton | 70,178 | 64.4 | 13.0 | 45.9 | 4.2 | 14.4 | 16.0 | 6.4 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 36 | 390 | York Central | Rachael Maskell | 79,557 | 54.5 | 10.7 | 46.3 | 4.3 | 15.7 | 14.7 | 8.3 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 57 | 369 | Sheffield Hallam | Olivia Blake | 73,033 | 70.7 | 14.1 | 39.5 | 19.9 | 12.3 | 9.7 | 4.5 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 64 | 362 | Leeds West and Pudsey | Rachel Reeves | 70,069 | 54.9 | 5.6 | 52.8 | 1.1 | 27.2 | 3.0 | 10.3 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 66 | 360 | Sheffield Heeley | Louise Haigh | 73,359 | 52.4 | 11.6 | 41.8 | 6.5 | 16.9 | 15.3 | 7.9 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 91 | 335 | Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough | Gill Furniss | 70,453 | 44.9 | 10.4 | 39.7 | 3.4 | 18.4 | 18.6 | 9.5 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 93 | 333 | Leeds South | Hilary Benn | 75,953 | 41.7 | 11.3 | 39.5 | 3.8 | 18.4 | 17.4 | 9.6 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 98 | 328 | Leeds East | Richard Burgon | 76,207 | 51.7 | 4.6 | 51.2 | 0.6 | 30.7 | 1.7 | 11.1 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 101 | 325 | Leeds North West | Katie White | 71,592 | 69.5 | 17.7 | 40.3 | 8.2 | 19.9 | 8.2 | 5.7 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 107 | 319 | Sheffield South East | Clive Betts | 74,194 | 48.2 | 9.4 | 46.3 | 3.2 | 26.8 | 5.1 | 9.2 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 125 | 301 | Shipley | Anna Dixon | 74,130 | 65.2 | 20.8 | 38.9 | 4.8 | 21.5 | 8.7 | 5.3 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 132 | 294 | Bradford East | Imran Hussain | 75,167 | 49.5 | 4.4 | 49.4 | 1.0 | 32.4 | 2.2 | 10.6 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 147 | 279 | Hull North and Cottingham | Diana Johnson | 75,280 | 50.8 | 4.5 | 48.6 | 1.1 | 33.0 | 1.3 | 11.5 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 149 | 277 | Wakefield and Rothwell | Simon Lightwood | 75,067 | 54.2 | 5.0 | 48.5 | 0.9 | 32.9 | 1.4 | 11.3 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 159 | 267 | Calder Valley | Josh Fenton-Glynn | 77,364 | 64.1 | 18.1 | 38.2 | 4.9 | 23.5 | 8.1 | 7.1 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 175 | 251 | Selby | Keir Mather | 78,055 | 63.1 | 6.9 | 48.1 | 0.9 | 34.6 | 1.2 | 8.2 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 183 | 243 | York Outer | Luke Charters | 76,228 | 67.0 | 23.6 | 33.9 | 12.0 | 20.9 | 5.4 | 4.2 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 188 | 238 | Halifax | Kate Alexandra Dearden | 77,516 | 51.9 | 5.2 | 46.3 | 0.7 | 33.9 | 1.8 | 11.9 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 190 | 236 | Colne Valley | Paul Davies | 72,638 | 63.6 | 23.0 | 34.8 | 5.8 | 22.4 | 8.5 | 5.5 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 193 | 233 | Bradford South | Judith Cummins | 71,002 | 46.5 | 4.2 | 45.9 | 0.5 | 33.9 | 2.1 | 13.5 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 194 | 232 | Barnsley North | Dan Jarvis | 78,267 | 47.1 | 3.2 | 46.6 | 0.5 | 34.7 | 1.2 | 13.8 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 198 | 228 | Huddersfield | Harpreet Uppal | 77,795 | 51.6 | 12.3 | 32.3 | 4.3 | 20.6 | 20.8 | 9.8 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 212 | 214 | Keighley and Ilkley | Robbie Moore | 74,367 | 62.1 | 23.2 | 32.1 | 3.7 | 21.3 | 11.2 | 8.5 | 0.0 | CON | LAB |
| 228 | 198 | Normanton and Hemsworth | Jon Trickett | 75,645 | 48.1 | 3.8 | 45.2 | 0.5 | 35.6 | 1.2 | 13.8 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 230 | 196 | Hull West and Haltemprice | Emma Hardy | 73,252 | 52.1 | 5.3 | 45.3 | 1.0 | 36.0 | 1.0 | 11.4 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 236 | 190 | Ossett and Denby Dale | Jade Botterill | 72,312 | 60.7 | 20.0 | 35.9 | 4.0 | 27.0 | 6.3 | 6.8 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 240 | 186 | Rotherham | Sarah Champion | 75,929 | 48.6 | 2.4 | 45.1 | 0.9 | 36.2 | 1.4 | 14.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 241 | 185 | Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley | Yvette Cooper | 74,618 | 48.2 | 4.0 | 44.7 | 0.5 | 35.9 | 1.1 | 13.8 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 245 | 181 | Leeds South West and Morley | Mark Sewards | 71,854 | 56.0 | 5.8 | 45.8 | 1.0 | 37.3 | 1.1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 247 | 179 | Rawmarsh and Conisbrough | John Healey | 69,132 | 49.0 | 4.0 | 43.8 | 0.5 | 35.6 | 1.0 | 15.1 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 250 | 176 | Doncaster Central | Sally Jameson | 74,678 | 50.8 | 5.7 | 44.4 | 0.6 | 36.4 | 1.0 | 11.9 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 251 | 175 | Doncaster North | Ed Miliband | 69,759 | 44.4 | 10.1 | 41.0 | 1.4 | 33.0 | 2.3 | 12.2 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 255 | 171 | Bradford West | Naz Shah | 77,897 | 47.6 | 11.1 | 30.2 | 3.1 | 22.3 | 23.1 | 10.3 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 274 | 152 | Wetherby and Easingwold | Alec Shelbrooke | 74,334 | 70.3 | 25.9 | 29.2 | 6.5 | 22.7 | 8.0 | 7.6 | 0.0 | CON | LAB |
| 285 | 141 | Scarborough and Whitby | Alison Hume | 74,558 | 59.3 | 11.0 | 42.1 | 2.0 | 36.3 | 1.9 | 6.8 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 287 | 139 | Scunthorpe | Nicholas Dakin | 74,263 | 52.6 | 13.1 | 39.9 | 1.8 | 34.3 | 3.1 | 7.8 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 289 | 137 | Penistone and Stocksbridge | Marie Tidball | 70,770 | 62.1 | 6.6 | 44.6 | 1.3 | 39.1 | 0.8 | 7.7 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 290 | 136 | Barnsley South | Stephanie Peacock | 75,850 | 46.3 | 3.3 | 42.9 | 0.5 | 37.5 | 1.1 | 14.7 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 300 | 126 | Spen Valley | Kim Leadbeater | 72,642 | 56.5 | 6.4 | 43.7 | 0.9 | 39.2 | 1.0 | 8.8 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 310 | 115 | Beverley and Holderness | Graham Stuart | 70,559 | 63.6 | 29.2 | 25.5 | 8.6 | 22.1 | 4.7 | 9.9 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 318 | 108 | Hull East | Karl Turner | 70,650 | 42.2 | 3.6 | 41.1 | 1.1 | 38.3 | 1.1 | 14.8 | 0.0 | LAB | LAB |
| 340 | 86 | Skipton and Ripon | Julian Smith | 79,251 | 67.4 | 24.0 | 26.6 | 8.3 | 26.3 | 6.7 | 8.0 | 0.0 | CON | LAB |
| 347 | 79 | Great Grimsby and Cleethorpes | Melanie Onn | 78,875 | 46.4 | 5.4 | 40.1 | 0.7 | 41.3 | 0.9 | 11.7 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 360 | 65 | Richmond and Northallerton | Rishi Sunak | 73,888 | 65.7 | 29.6 | 23.1 | 7.1 | 26.1 | 5.7 | 8.4 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
| 373 | 53 | Goole and Pocklington | David Davis | 78,287 | 63.5 | 24.8 | 24.6 | 7.4 | 28.6 | 5.5 | 9.1 | 0.0 | CON | Reform |
| 374 | 52 | Doncaster East and the Isle of Axholme | Lee Pitcher | 70,154 | 55.8 | 22.6 | 27.0 | 3.6 | 31.3 | 4.0 | 11.4 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 378 | 48 | Brigg and Immingham | Martin Vickers | 74,297 | 57.2 | 22.5 | 25.8 | 4.2 | 30.5 | 5.8 | 11.0 | 0.0 | CON | Reform |
| 389 | 37 | Rother Valley | Jake Richards | 69,460 | 59.9 | 7.2 | 38.6 | 0.8 | 44.9 | 0.9 | 7.7 | 0.0 | LAB | Reform |
| 389 | 36 | Harrogate and Knaresborough | Tom Gordon | 77,970 | 66.8 | 31.7 | 8.0 | 40.4 | 14.3 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 0.0 | LIB | LIB |
| 391 | 35 | Dewsbury and Batley | Iqbal Hussain Mohamed | 71,685 | 53.1 | 16.5 | 24.1 | 4.8 | 30.6 | 8.0 | 16.0 | 0.0 | MIN | Reform |
| 396 | 30 | Thirsk and Malton | Kevin Hollinrake | 78,484 | 63.4 | 25.6 | 22.2 | 8.6 | 29.3 | 5.5 | 8.9 | 0.0 | CON | Reform |
| 408 | 17 | Bridlington and the Wolds | Charlie Dewhirst | 72,931 | 58.9 | 33.9 | 16.7 | 6.3 | 28.0 | 3.2 | 11.9 | 0.0 | CON | CON |
Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.