Vulnerable Seats

Party	2024 Votes	2024 Seats	Pred Votes	Gains	Losses	Net Change	Pred Seats
CON	24.4%	121	19.3%	13	33	-20	101
LAB	34.7%	412	26.6%	14	85	-71	341
LIB	12.6%	72	10.0%	0	6	-6	66
Reform	14.7%	5	23.1%	80	1	+79	84
Green	6.9%	4	10.2%	0	2	-2	2
SNP	2.6%	9	2.9%	26	1	+25	34
PlaidC	0.7%	4	0.6%	0	1	-1	3
Other	3.5%	5	7.7%	1	5	-4	1
SF		7		0	0	+0	7
DUP		5		0	0	+0	5
SDLP		2		0	0	+0	2
UUP		1		0	0	+0	1
Alliance		1		0	0	+0	1
TUV		1		0	0	+0	1
NI Other		1		0	0	+0	1

Seat	County/Area	Predicted Change			MP as at 2024
Aberafan Maesteg	West Glamorgan	LAB	hold (TV)	LAB	Stephen Kinnock
Aberdeen South	Grampian	CON	gain from	SNP	Stephen Flynn
Aldridge-Brownhills	Black Country	Reform	gain from	CON	Wendy Morton
Alloa and Grangemouth	Central	SNP	gain from	LAB	Brian Leishman
Alyn and Deeside	Clwyd	Reform	gain from	LAB	Mark Tami
Amber Valley	Derbyshire	LAB	hold (TV)	LAB	Linsey Farnsworth
Ashford	Kent	Reform	gain from	LAB	Sojan Joseph
Aylesbury	Buckinghamshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Laura Elizabeth Kyrke-Smith
Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	LAB	Elaine Stewart
Ayrshire Central	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	LAB	Alan Gemmell
Ayrshire North and Arran	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	LAB	Irene Campbell
Bangor Aberconwy	Clwyd	Reform	gain from	LAB	Claire Hughes
Barnsley South	South Yorkshire	LAB	hold (TV)	LAB	Stephanie Peacock
Bexleyheath and Crayford	Bexley	Reform	gain from	LAB	Daniel Francis
Birmingham Hall Green and Moseley	Birmingham	LAB	hold (TV)	LAB	Tahir Ali
Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull North	Birmingham	Reform	gain from	LAB	Liam Byrne
Birmingham Ladywood	Birmingham	LAB	hold (TV)	LAB	Shabana Mahmood
Birmingham Perry Barr	Birmingham	LAB	gain from	MIN	Ayoub Khan
Birmingham Yardley	Birmingham	Reform	gain from	LAB	Jess Phillips
Bishop Auckland	Durham	LAB	hold (TV)	LAB	Sam Rushworth
Blackburn	Lancashire	LAB	gain from (TV)	MIN	Adnan Hussain
Bracknell	Berkshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Peter Swallow
Braintree	Essex	Reform	gain from	CON	James Cleverly
Brentwood and Ongar	Essex	CON	hold (TV)	CON	Alex Burghart
Bridgend	Mid Glamorgan	LAB	hold (TV)	LAB	Chris Elmore
Bridlington and the Wolds	Humber area	CON	hold (TV)	CON	Charlie Dewhirst
Brigg and Immingham	Humber area	Reform	gain from	CON	Martin Vickers
Bristol East	Bristol area	LAB	hold (TV)	LAB	Kerry McCarthy
Broxbourne	Hertfordshire	Reform	gain from	CON	Lewis Christopher Cocking
Burnley	Lancashire	LAB	hold (TV)	LAB	Oliver Ryan
Burton and Uttoxeter	Staffordshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Jacob Collier
Camborne and Redruth	Cornwall	Reform	gain from	LAB	Perran Moon
Cambridgeshire North East	Cambridgeshire	CON	hold (TV)	CON	Steve Barclay
Cambridgeshire North West	Cambridgeshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Sam Carling
Cannock Chase	Staffordshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Josh Newbury
Castle Point	Essex	Reform	gain from	CON	Rebecca Harris
Chatham and Aylesford	Kent	Reform	gain from	LAB	Tristan Osborne
Chester South and Eddisbury	Cheshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Aphra Brandreth
Christchurch	Dorset	CON	hold (TV)	CON	Christopher Chope
Clwyd East	Clwyd	Reform	gain from	LAB	Becky Gittins
Clwyd North	Clwyd	Reform	gain from	LAB	Gill German
Coatbridge and Bellshill	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Frank McNally
Cornwall South East	Cornwall	Reform	gain from	LAB	Anna Gelderd
Cowdenbeath and Kirkcaldy	Fife	SNP	gain from	LAB	Melanie Ward
Croydon South	Croydon	CON	hold (TV)	CON	Chris Philp
Cumbernauld and Kirkintilloch	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Katrina Murray
Dartford	Kent	Reform	gain from	LAB	Jim Dickson
Dewsbury and Batley	West Yorkshire	Reform	gain from	MIN	Iqbal Hussain Mohamed
Doncaster East and the Isle of Axholme	South Yorkshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Lee Pitcher
Dorset South	Dorset	Reform	gain from	LAB	Lloyd Hatton
Dover and Deal	Kent	LAB	hold (TV)	LAB	Mike Tapp
Droitwich and Evesham	Hereford and Worcestershire	CON	hold (TV)	CON	Nigel Huddleston
Dudley	Black Country	Reform	gain from	LAB	Sonia Kumar
Dumfries and Galloway	Dumfries and Galloway	SNP	gain from	CON	John Cooper
Dunbartonshire West	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Douglas McAllister
Dunfermline and Dollar	Fife	LAB	hold (TV)	LAB	Graeme Downie
Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard	Bedfordshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Alex Mayer
Durham North	Durham	LAB	hold (TV)	LAB	Luke Akehurst
East Kilbride and Strathaven	Ayrshire and Lanark	LAB	hold (TV)	LAB	Joani Reid
Eastleigh	Hampshire	CON	gain from	LIB	Liz Jarvis
Edinburgh East and Musselburgh	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Chris Murray
Edinburgh North and Leith	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Tracy Gilbert
Edinburgh South West	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Scott Arthur
Ely and East Cambridgeshire	Cambridgeshire	CON	gain from	LIB	Charlotte Cane
Falkirk	Central	SNP	gain from	LAB	Euan Stainbank
Fareham and Waterlooville	Hampshire	CON	hold (TV)	CON	Suella Braverman
Folkestone and Hythe	Kent	Reform	gain from	LAB	Tony Vaughan
Forest of Dean	Gloucestershire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Matt Bishop
Gainsborough	Lincolnshire	Reform	gain from	CON	Sir Edward Leigh
Glasgow East	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	John Grady
Glasgow North	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Martin Rhodes
Glasgow North East	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Maureen Burke
Glasgow South	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Gordon McKee
Glasgow South West	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Zubir Ahmed
Glasgow West	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Patricia Ferguson
Glenrothes and Mid Fife	Fife	SNP	gain from	LAB	Richard Baker
Gloucester	Gloucestershire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Alex McIntyre
Goole and Pocklington	Humber area	Reform	gain from	CON	David Davis
Gordon and Buchan	Grampian	CON	hold (TV)	CON	Harriet Cross
Gosport	Hampshire	CON	hold (TV)	CON	Caroline Dinenage
Grantham and Bourne	Lincolnshire	Reform	gain from	CON	Gareth Davies
Gravesham	Kent	Reform	gain from	LAB	Lauren Sullivan
Great Grimsby and Cleethorpes	Humber area	Reform	gain from	LAB	Melanie Onn
Great Yarmouth	Norfolk	MIN	gain from	Reform	Rupert Lowe
Halesowen	Black Country	LAB	hold (TV)	LAB	Alex Ballinger
Hampshire North East	Hampshire	Reform	gain from	LIB	Alex Brewer
Harborough, Oadby and Wigston	Leicestershire	LAB	gain from	CON	Neil O'Brien
Harlow	Essex	Reform	gain from	LAB	Christopher John Vince
Herefordshire North	Hereford and Worcestershire	CON	gain from	Green	Ellie Chowns
Herne Bay and Sandwich	Kent	Reform	gain from	CON	Roger Gale
Hinckley and Bosworth	Leicestershire	CON	hold (TV)	CON	Luke Evans
Hornchurch and Upminster	Havering	CON	hold (TV)	CON	Julia Lopez
Horsham	West Sussex	LIB	hold (TV)	LIB	John Milne
Hull East	Humber area	LAB	hold (TV)	LAB	Karl Turner
Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Martin McCluskey
Isle of Wight West	Hampshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Richard Quigley
Islington North	Islington	LAB	gain from	MIN	Jeremy Corbyn
Keighley and Ilkley	West Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Robbie Moore
Kensington and Bayswater	Kensington and Chelsea	CON	gain from (TV)	LAB	Joe Powell
Kilmarnock and Loudoun	Ayrshire and Lanark	SNP	gain from	LAB	Lillian Jones
Kingswinford and South Staffordshire	Staffordshire	CON	hold (TV)	CON	Mike Wood
Leicester South	Leicestershire	LAB	gain from	MIN	Shockat Adam
Leicestershire Mid	Leicestershire	LAB	gain from	CON	Peter Bedford
Leicestershire North West	Leicestershire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Amanda Hack
Leicestershire South	Leicestershire	Reform	gain from	CON	Alberto Costa
Lichfield	Staffordshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Dave Robertson
Livingston	Edinburgh area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Gregor Poynton
Llanelli	Dyfed	Reform	gain from	LAB	Nia Griffith
Louth and Horncastle	Lincolnshire	Reform	gain from	CON	Victoria Atkins
Lowestoft	Suffolk	Reform	gain from	LAB	Jessica Asato
Maldon	Essex	CON	hold (TV)	CON	John Whittingdale
Melksham and Devizes	Wiltshire	CON	gain from	LIB	Brian Mathew
Melton and Syston	Leicestershire	Reform	gain from	CON	Edward Argar
Merthyr Tydfil and Aberdare	Mid Glamorgan	LAB	hold (TV)	LAB	Gerald Jones
Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland	Teesside	Reform	gain from	LAB	Luke Myer
Midlothian	Edinburgh area	LAB	hold (TV)	LAB	Kirsty McNeill
Monmouthshire	Gwent	Reform	gain from	LAB	Catherine Fookes
Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr	Powys	Reform	gain from	LAB	Steve Witherden
Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke	Glasgow area	LAB	hold (TV)	LAB	Pamela Nash
Neath and Swansea East	West Glamorgan	LAB	hold (TV)	LAB	Carolyn Harris
New Forest East	Hampshire	CON	hold (TV)	CON	Julian Lewis
Newark	Nottinghamshire	Reform	gain from	CON	Robert Jenrick
Newport East	Gwent	LAB	hold (TV)	LAB	Jessica Morden
Newport West and Islwyn	Gwent	LAB	hold (TV)	LAB	Ruth Jones
Newton Abbot	Devon	Reform	gain from	LIB	Martin Wrigley
Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor	Durham	LAB	hold (TV)	LAB	Alan Strickland
Norfolk Mid	Norfolk	Reform	gain from	CON	George Freeman
Norfolk North	Norfolk	Reform	gain from	LIB	Steffan Aquarone
Norfolk North West	Norfolk	Reform	gain from	CON	James Wild
Norfolk South West	Norfolk	Reform	gain from	LAB	Terry Jermy
Northamptonshire South	Northamptonshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Sarah Bool
Old Bexley and Sidcup	Bexley	Reform	gain from	CON	Louie French
Oldham East and Saddleworth	Eastern Manchester	LAB	hold (TV)	LAB	Debbie Abrahams
Oldham West, Chadderton and Royton	Eastern Manchester	LAB	hold (TV)	LAB	Jim McMahon
Paisley and Renfrewshire North	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Alison Suzanne Watt Taylor
Paisley and Renfrewshire South	Glasgow area	SNP	gain from	LAB	Johanna Baxter
Pembrokeshire Mid and South	Dyfed	Reform	gain from	LAB	Henry Tufnell
Pendle and Clitheroe	Lancashire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Jonathan James Hinder
Peterborough	Cambridgeshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Andrew Pakes
Poole	Dorset	CON	gain from (TV)	LAB	Neil John Duncan-Jordan
Portsmouth North	Hampshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Amanda Martin
Rayleigh and Wickford	Essex	CON	hold (TV)	CON	Mark Francois
Reading West and Mid Berkshire	Berkshire	CON	gain from	LAB	Olivia Bailey
Redcar	Teesside	Reform	gain from	LAB	Anna Turley
Redditch	Hereford and Worcestershire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Christopher James Bloore
Renfrewshire East	Glasgow area	LAB	hold (TV)	LAB	Blair McDougall
Rhondda and Ogmore	Mid Glamorgan	LAB	hold (TV)	LAB	Chris Bryant
Rochester and Strood	Kent	Reform	gain from	LAB	Lauren Rae Edwards
Romford	Havering	Reform	gain from	CON	Andrew Rosindell
Rother Valley	South Yorkshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Jake Richards
Rotherham	South Yorkshire	LAB	hold (TV)	LAB	Sarah Champion
Sherwood Forest	Nottinghamshire	LAB	hold (TV)	LAB	Michelle Welsh
Sittingbourne and Sheppey	Kent	Reform	gain from	LAB	Kevin McKenna
Skipton and Ripon	North Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Julian Smith
Sleaford and North Hykeham	Lincolnshire	Reform	gain from	CON	Caroline Johnson
Somerset North	Bristol area	CON	gain from	LAB	Sadik Al-Hassan
South Holland and The Deepings	Lincolnshire	Reform	gain from	CON	John Hayes
Southend West and Leigh	Essex	Reform	gain from	LAB	David Edmund Burton-Sampson
Spen Valley	West Yorkshire	LAB	hold (TV)	LAB	Kim Leadbeater
St Austell and Newquay	Cornwall	Reform	gain from	LAB	Noah Law
Staffordshire Moorlands	Staffordshire	Reform	gain from	CON	Karen Bradley
Stirling and Strathallan	Central	SNP	gain from	LAB	Chris Kane
Stockton West	Teesside	LAB	gain from	CON	Matt Vickers
Stoke-on-Trent North	Staffordshire	LAB	hold (TV)	LAB	David Williams
Stoke-on-Trent South	Staffordshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Allison Gardner
Stourbridge	Black Country	Reform	gain from	LAB	Cat Eccles
Suffolk Coastal	Suffolk	Reform	gain from	LAB	Jenny Riddell-Carpenter
Surrey East	Surrey	CON	hold (TV)	CON	Claire Coutinho
Sutton Coldfield	Birmingham	LAB	gain from	CON	Andrew Mitchell
Tamworth	Staffordshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Sarah Edwards
Tatton	Cheshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Esther McVey
Thirsk and Malton	North Yorkshire	Reform	gain from	CON	Kevin Hollinrake
Thurrock	Essex	LAB	hold (TV)	LAB	Jennifer Craft
Tipton and Wednesbury	Black Country	Reform	gain from	LAB	Antonia Bance
Torfaen	Gwent	LAB	hold (TV)	LAB	Nick Thomas-Symonds
Uxbridge and South Ruislip	Hillingdon	LAB	hold (TV)	LAB	Danny Boy Beales
Vale of Glamorgan	South Glamorgan	CON	gain from	LAB	Kanishka Narayan
Walsall and Bloxwich	Black Country	Reform	gain from	LAB	Valerie Vaz
Warwickshire North and Bedworth	Warwickshire	Reform	gain from	LAB	Rachel Margaret Taylor
Waveney Valley	Suffolk	CON	gain from	Green	Adrian Ramsay
Weald of Kent	Kent	CON	hold (TV)	CON	Katie Jane Lotte Lam
Wetherby and Easingwold	North Yorkshire	LAB	gain from	CON	Alec Shelbrooke
Witham	Essex	Reform	gain from	CON	Priti Patel
Wrexham	Clwyd	Reform	gain from	LAB	Andrew Steven Ranger
Ynys Mon (Anglesey)	Gwynedd	CON	gain from	Plaid	Llinos Medi

Note that the MP's name given is the person who won the seat in 2024. That person may not necessarily be the candidate for the same party in the next election.

Vulnerable Seats

Current Prediction: Labour majority 32

List of predicted seat changes